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Moderate Property Growth in Next 3 Years

Moderate Property Growth in Next 3 Years

The Reserve Bank of Australia decided to leave interest rates on hold at 4.5% in June as they observe the impact that recent rate rises are having on the Australian economy. This is particularly important as Europe tries to deal with its sovereign debt issues. The RBA is paying most attention to the health of the global economy and how it may impact Australia.

For the year to March 2010, the Australian economy showed solid growth, expanding by 2.7%. This is significant when compared to the small 0.7% growth in the previous year. Economists predict a positive outlook with growth forecast to be around 3.5% for the coming year.

Property clearance rates in Melbourne have certainly eased in the past few months from the mid to high 80’s to 65% at present. Stock levels are at a record high for the time of the year. Despite this, our Street News subscribers have indicated that property sales and prices are still strong and that buyer levels at opens are still very good.

 

Leading industry forecaster, BIS Shrapnel, predicts a modest growth in the Melbourne market over the next three years. “Price performance will be patchy, although we expect the overall shortage of dwellings will prevent a fall in the median house price. On the other hand, price growth will remain very limited due to the rising interest rate pressuring affordability.

Our forecast is for Melbourne’s median house price to rise by a total of 11 per cent over the three year period to June 2013, or a modest 3.5 per cent per annum”.

By Peter Sarmas, Managing Director, Street News

Investors fill the first home buyers' gap

Investors fill the first home buyers’ gap

When June-quarter property prices are released in the next two months, it’s likely we’ll see house price growth down markedly from the rates we saw in March and December.

The figures probably won’t show falling prices but growth will be a lot closer to zero than it has been for more than a year.

That in itself would be an unusual result. The fall in housing finance figures compiled by the ABS has been steep and would normally suggest falling prices, not just a fall in the rate of growth.

Overall, the number of housing loans for owner occupation, excluding those for refinancing, is down more than 30 per cent year on year for NSW.

One reason the downward effect on house prices hasn’t been as pronounced as we’ve seen historically is that it was accompanied by a rise in the proportion of housing purchases not involving mortgages.

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Or another way to think about it, the lack of a significant fall is partly due to a fall in the proportion of first home buyers, who recently have had a much greater propensity to use mortgages for their purchases.

The other reason is the increased level of investor activity, reported separately to the owner-occupied numbers that are usually considered to have the biggest link to prices.

Nationally, the value of loans taken out by investors is up nearly 30 per cent year on year, according to the ABS, and brokers and financing groups are reporting strong upswings in investor activity as the competition from first home buyers and upgraders continues to dissipate.

This has helped cushion the effect of the withdrawal of first home buyers and upgraders from the market as interest rate concerns dominate.

Matthew Bell is the economist for the Fairfax-owned Australian Property Monitors.

We must do better on housing supply says Swan

We must do better on housing supply says Swan

Australia must do better in the supply of housing – a supply gap that could grow to 600,000 by 2028/29, Treasurer Wayne Swan has warned.

Mr Swan told a Property Council conference in Canberra that the National Housing Supply Council estimates the country’s housing stock is currently short of 178,400 dwellings.

“It seems that the supply of housing in Australia is not as responsive as it could be, and this has been the case for some time now,” Mr Swan said in a prepared speech on Monday.

He said reasons for this supply shortage were impediments created by various regulations, slow planning and zoning processes, and complex, uncertain and time-consuming systems for charging developers for infrastructure.

“In the worst-case scenario, it can take as long as 15 years to proceed from the identification of suitable land to a completed house,” Mr Swan said.

“We can do better than this.”

He said commonwealth and state treasuries and premiers’ departments were now fully engaged in the process of designing reforms to improve the operation of the housing market.

“I’m determined to see the Australian government play a role in reforming the housing market for the long term, embedding better practices in planning and zoning and developer charging,” he said.

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Mr Swan reeled off a number of initiatives undertaken by the federal government in its efforts to improve the functioning of the housing market.

These included a $6.2 billion national affordable housing agreement with the states, $5.2 million of stimulus money to build more than 19,300 in public housing stock, and a $512 million housing affordability fund.

This is on top of a national rental affordability scheme that encourages institutional investors to deliver low-cost rental housing, the first-home saver account and a more generous first-home owners grant during the global financial crisis.

The government is also committed to $27.7 billion in urban and regional road infrastructure that will help support housing.

“These are all important steps and they will all contribute to improving the functioning of the Australian housing market and, in particular, the supply of low-cost housing,” he said.

A Guide to Surviving Your Move

A Guide to Surviving Your Move

Below are some helpful hints on everything you need to do berfore you move:

  • Plan your move from as early as possible. Consider also that the first and last days of the month are extra busy.
  • Consider having a garage sale to remove unwanted and unnecessary items.
  • Begin using up large supplies of frozen and canned goods
  • Have you moving company conduct a household goods survey in orcder to provide you with a written estimate as to cost.
  • Pre-arrange for the telephone and utilities to be connected at your new home for the day you move in. .
  • Have rugs and drapes that you are taking cleaned and arrange any alterations that may be required for them to fit into your new home. If you intend on doing your own packing, start collecting suitable containers around four to six weeks prior to your moving date. You can purchase specialised containers from most moving companies.
  • A Guide to Surviving Your Move
  • It can also be handy to collect packing materials such as: tissue paper, paper towels, newspaper, tape, scissors or a sharp knife, felt marker, notebook and pencil.
  • Set goals and deadlines to ensure that all packing is completed by moving day. You may want to pack one room per week. Attach a list of contents to each carton.
  • Pack a box for instant needs on arrival. Such as; cleaning equipment, dish towel, crockery, cutlery, coffee and tea, desired food and drinks, saucepans, toilet paper, toiletries, garbage bags, torch, tool kit.
  • Be on hand when the movers arrive or arrange for somebody to be there on your behalf. They will need to direct the movers and may need to sign documents on you behalf pertaining to costs.
  • When you arrive at the new house, ensure that the house is ready for occupancy prior to the removal van arriving.
  • Check all goods ask they are unloaded.
SELLING TIPS What you can do to help

SELLING TIPS: What you can do to help

  • Remove any objects such as children’s toys on the front steps, which might cause accidents.  Keep the front entrance and stairway    clear.  Try for uncluttered appearance.
  • Neat orderly rooms look bigger, especially bedrooms.  Tidy up all rooms for a spacious appearance.
  •  Check and double-check your bathroom.  Bright and clean bathrooms sell many homes.
  • When you are showing your home three is a crowd.  Avoid having  too many people present for inspections.  The prospect will feel like an intruder and will hurry through the house.  If possible go out for a short walk.
  • If you can’t go out, stay out of the way.  Do not accompany the prospect and the sales person around the house.  The Agent knows the Buyer’s requirements and can better emphasise the features of your house when alone.  They will call you if they need you.
  •  Love me, love my dog does not apply when selling a house.  Pets are best kept out of the way, even taken on a walk when there is an inspection.
  •  Never apologize for the appearance of your home.  After all, it has been lived in.  Let the real estate agent answer any objections that are raised, that is their job.

SELLING TIPS: What you can do to help

  •  Switch off the TV during inspections it is very distracting.  Put on some mellow music that will get prospective purchasers relaxed and in the mood for buying.
  •  It is best not to discuss price, terms, possessions or other factors with the buyer.  Refer them to the agent.  Real Estate Agents are better equipped to bring the negotiation to a quick and favourable conclusion.
  •  You and your Real Estate Agent need to work as a team.  If you feel they have overlooked some important selling points, feel free to discuss them once you are alone together.
  •  Sweep all the walkways to create an impression of constant maintenance to your house.
  •  Park extra cars, which do not fit in car parks, away from the property.
  •  Clean windows and window coverings.
  •  Make sure gutter and down pipes are clean and in working order.
  •  Open curtains and turn on lights so the house feels warm and bright.
  • Have an air freshener in the toilet and bathroom to have a fresh, clean smell.

It is important that a home gets a buyer in the right mood to buy, all the above tips and hints will help to do this.  You can also use the season to your advantage. 

 If it is wintertime make sure that the house is warm. It is very welcoming on a cold day and adds extra character if you have the fire burning.

 If it is summer time ensure that the house is cool by using, fans, air-conditioners or opening all the windows to make the most of any breeze.

Removing Clutter, You May Think Of As Clutter

Removing Clutter, You May Think Of As Clutter

This is the hardest thing for most people to do because they are emotionally attached to everything in the house.  After years of living in the homes clutter builds up in such a way that may not be evident to the homeowner.  However, it does affect the way buyers see the home even if you do not realize it.  Clutter collects on shelves, counter tops, drawers, closets and garages.

Take a step back and pretend you are a buyer.  Let a friend point out areas of clutter, as long as you can accept their views without getting defensive.  Let your agent help you too.

Building and Pest Inspections

Building and Pest Inspections

Part of any normal contract of sale, in Queensland, is the Building and Pest Inspection.  This often is a time of great stress for many home buyers and sellers, in particular the first home buyers who are new to the market place.  These buyers  are purchasing homes in the McDowall, Everton Park areas that are usually 30 plus years old,  these homes often have maintenance issues, yes no homes is ever perfect. Not even a new home, with established homes if there are major structural issues these would already be evident where with a new home they are still to surface.

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Buyers when reading these report panic, quiet often missing out on good quality homes that only need to be well maintained.  The job of the inspectors is to draw your attention to all the little jobs that require attention if he does not do this they are not doing there job.  These are then backed up by huge disclaimers which the building inspector’s insurance insists they put into the reports.  The inexperienced buyer is completely baffled and confused. Quite often they crash the contract over minor issues. The seller is left frustrated and annoyed that they lost the contract.

Sellers can minimize this stressful time, prior to going to the market place having a pre-sale building & pest inspection and attending to any issues that maybe of concern.  Thus being for warned.

Buyers need to understand that every home has some issue.

…ask Madeleine by commenting on this and I will help you through your next building and pest report.